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🧵 Thread (53 tweets)

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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago

Sure, you can model it using some complex mathematics.https://t.co/hFZ9Gq3RdG

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

But have you considered just winging it with Taguchi?https://t.co/02VLQjqdJK

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

YOLO Bayes oneshot ultimape optimization of how to cook and egg? https://t.co/UNmcPkeQZp

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UltimApe@ultimape• 12 months ago

@almostlikethat @literalbanana @nsreed @zefrank Basically get concrete data into a parameter space and keep iterating until you find ones that seem to match up with lived experiences. It's a really elaborate form of guess and check. It like a intuition driven Taguchi method of paramaeter space tuning. https://t.co/aG9wcgXRTn

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Have you considered calculating the risk of not testing vs the cost of testing and seeing if there is a probability manifold on this hypersurface that lets you get useful data quickly?https://t.co/c1unmILiiH

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 4 years ago

@shannystanny @jimmyjames198 I can build you a robot that will cook the egg for you.https://t.co/iCZTH3t3KQ and a process to detect food spoilage https://t.co/lEKUe9y3u0But if we sell to consumers it will be laughed at as the next juciero.

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Optimizing egg cooking is a thing I do, for reason I can't explain.https://t.co/umSZpIGtIT

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 4 years ago

Do you ever try to boil an egg using your couch & wonder if you could unboil an egg using your couch, and in the process set in motion a weird idea about using quantum time crystals as way to locally reverse entropy and make a universe ending quantum bomb?https://t.co/YCmusxcWFJ

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Out of chaos, order.https://t.co/LsgIBynkiO

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 2 years ago

@goblinodds @lisatomic5 People confused bayes optimal decisions and maximizing utility with there being "one true good answer" when really the answer is often a shifting mix of Schelling points and chaos when looking at it from a metagame.https://t.co/XTI9tJe7Ed

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Focus you fuck.https://t.co/Ppxsxipjgz

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 4 years ago

That is awesome!https://t.co/WiCWnYHuo5Been waiting for someone to do a Bayes based version since learning about USS Scorpionhttps://t.co/MjczyIxGA5

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Tapping the sign. Tappy tap tap.https://t.co/eSzJXeH6Iu

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 4 years ago

@The_Lagrangian I don't use it as a metaphor tho, I actually believe my brain is a hive of semi-stationary agents performing Bayes-optimal chemotaxis over energy gradients under constraints of the speed-accuracy trade off.https://t.co/3OKgZcwbJ4

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Stop and think about stopping and thinking.https://t.co/TbiUdE2epB

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UltimApe@ultimape• almost 5 years ago

Did you know that ants stop to think about their path integration in a similar way as humans "resting" to update their mental state. My current mental theory is the movement system and thinking system use the same 'bayes' bits in the brain.https://t.co/0CBIeF2rMb

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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Halt and catch fire.https://t.co/oIzYeW8YoK

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 5 years ago

when Hofstadter talked about the seething subterranean hive of analogies that live in your brain, I took him seriously."Bayes Bots: Collective Bayesian Decision-Making in Decentralized Robot Swarms"https://t.co/ClauOI2pAmhttps://t.co/yD77Op7xRu

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Ideas that it seems few can see because they are mixed messages held in a quantum eigenstate of utility.https://t.co/UGjEApvllg

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UltimApe@ultimape• almost 7 years ago

I don't have pedigree or language to pass any qualifications to work for Facebook's AI dept even though all I think about some days is how to solve Contextual Bandit problem by localizing inference to speed up quorum based systems.https://t.co/SU2GM9rioJhttps://t.co/gTYcQKl006

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Would you like to play a game?https://t.co/5khHHBuOZV

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 6 years ago

"Decision-making without a brain: how an amoeboid organism solves the two-armed bandit"https://t.co/GV2EXbNwEa"the learner's aim is to collect enough information so that it can predict the next best arm to play"https://t.co/mptdAAbhkihttps://t.co/UwaqIqOynr

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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Thank you for coming to my ted talk.https://t.co/OwCqbGVUTr

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 5 years ago

Evolutionary Multi-Agent Collaborative Bayesian Reasoning for Multi-Objective Optimization Under Uncertainty in a Resource Constrained Environment with Respect to the Speed Accuracy Trade Off.Thank you for coming to my Ted Talk.

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

I can't help it, I speak what I see. These memes and maths are metaphors of m3https://t.co/bQ9CpE9EU4

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 4 years ago

Recognized this myself; applying the association system I use for building my twitter memex, allows me to encode ideas into memes, and communicate via a messy multi-pronged bandit.https://t.co/UxnyGsLRV4

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Jerry was a race car driver. 🎶https://t.co/v1QtVjhP5q

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Jerry!https://t.co/oV6Mhvdg0r

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

I'm mad that rats and slimemold are better at driving than I am.https://t.co/qslyhfqxBs

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 4 years ago

Hired: putting a rat in a tiny car to see if you can use them to navigate robot dogs using drone based telerobotic systems.I'm sure they don't realize this is what is going to be done with it. But hey, at least the rats are happy and get fruitloops.https://t.co/UpqHv2dDtv

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3/23/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Another cool one that is similar is the concept of "Grey Code" https://t.co/Tq4Uj0eE4K and "Karnaugh map" https://t.co/wV2nkzd0GBI learned these in college as ways to understand logic circuits. Grey codes are useful for running tests.https://t.co/MXFL1gdrfJ

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

With grey codes, you can pump them thru a circuit using something like JTAG and it does a 'good enough' job testing all pathways. Because only one bit changes between each test, you can more easily reason about failure by tracing the paths.

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

In a sense Taguchi method solves a sort of 'minimum distance' between tests that maximizes usable information. Kinda like Grey Codes.When you realize that, you can then minimize tests further by using a bayes style novelty search algorithm.https://t.co/yWpQW5VU4k

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 3 years ago

Speaker is describing how they combined novelty search based innovation engines to explore the state space, and then leverage Bayesian methods to be able to narrow down into the right domain to use quickly. https://t.co/ejAdoTqCO5

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Once you realize you can frame these as complex manifolds that vibrate, you can start to do really fun things with them.https://t.co/iQU23XYUVl

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UltimApe@ultimape• 12 months ago

@taku_onodera @visakanv Nailed it. The neural oscillation actually do impact sensory experiences. https://t.co/zKv5TYeEy7

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Learning is a game you play against the world.https://t.co/b6uFZnsv6V

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 5 years ago

Collaborative Ratchet."As such they are consistent with the Bayesian brain hypothesis, but these neural computations seem to be subject to nonlinear probability weighting."https://t.co/oMq1OWTfxq https://t.co/fY9z6PpA6p

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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

The fun thing is, you aren't learning everything from scratch every time to play the game. And you can learn from other's experiences too.https://t.co/YTR43046lw

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 4 years ago

Effective exploring of a phase space is basically what slimemold do.https://t.co/Gg9fQjdMv4

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Then you can start throwing in measure theory.https://t.co/XfokpL0LYm

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UltimApe@ultimape• almost 4 years ago

The funny thing about playing battleship, is even a 'miss' can help you see the playing field better. The problem with using battleship under a model of Bayesian probability of shooting in the dark is that we don't bake in accuracy. What happens if you assume noisy samples?

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Noting is measurable.https://t.co/Jc9c6R4j6w

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Surfaces upon surfaces."each of those is a surface, and that surface meets another surface and they have been machined to be accurate"https://t.co/KfyRS6HgeZ

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Measure together.https://t.co/fv17AYCOOm

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 6 years ago

Everybody's still doing Dykstra's and occasionally stumbling upon A* when I'm over here thinking about how a decentralized collaborative hierarchical D* could be expressed as a Speed-Accuracy Trade off applied to risk/reward and novelty search using bayesian probability streams.

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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

We are a swarm of non-identical agents mapping the state space, act as such.https://t.co/26CtBlwSeO

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 8 years ago

Informational Cybernetics. Communication is sharing our maps.https://t.co/GTpF8Es1Dz https://t.co/RPcladg9XE

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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Langauge allows us to communicate parts of the map we haven't personally seen. Sure the map is not the territory and nothing is truly measurable, but a really good map is better than a poorly drawn one.https://t.co/1sSUMtVZ7E

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UltimApe@ultimape• almost 3 years ago

Map the possibility space, watch the ants dance on the manifold. And then use that to decide where to put the weight.https://t.co/0kydn695Vv

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

> "A Karnaugh map reduces the need for extensive calculations by taking advantage of humans' pattern-recognition capability. [...] Karnaugh maps are used to simplify real-world logic requirements so that they can be implemented using the minimal number of logic gates."

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

You don't need to do the algebraic math if you can imagine the shape.https://t.co/yua5kNqXNi

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 4 years ago

I wonder where he picked up that whole "work on a problem before bed" trick.https://t.co/T3sJMAZFIPIt's amazing how many philosophers are good at finding intuition pumps and other tools for thinking.https://t.co/CMKANLtcjf

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

You can imagine the state space like a 3d map you haven't fully explored. Where would you go if you want to understand the lay of the landscape?https://t.co/X5pmNp6akZ

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 4 years ago

Have you tried uncovering how ritualized ad-lib practices in improv theatre are rooted in a long history of using chaotic words as a divination ritual, and using them to power what Daniel Dennett has described as "intuition pumps", so you can more likely solve the problem?

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Pick a spot at random that is far away from where you've ever been before, and aim for either a mountain, or a valley.https://t.co/8kxpeOYhxu

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 2 years ago

"You're exactly right - it does sound like this experience is enhancing your latent learning abilities and combining with your natural learning style in a synergistic way. A few key points:" - Claudehttps://t.co/sAEqQAQpdX

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

If the problem space is large enough, you can expect others to fill in where you haven't explored before.https://t.co/1VYFSTpUMX

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 8 years ago

"You expected me to fill in what you intentionally left out, didn't you?"https://t.co/hzvGfbEXBo

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Even just random wanderings will do.https://t.co/qHxA8Gw8l0

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 3 years ago

I have no idea what I'm doing... but that's the whole point."Latent learning is simply animals observing their surroundings with no particular motivation to learn the geography of it; however, at a later date, they are able to exploit this knowledge when there is motivation"

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

We are a swarm mapping the state space, act as if.https://t.co/VeGgwi2Ns6

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 5 years ago

@krzhang @Plinz @ricard_sole "we propose a view of the adaptive immune system as a dynamic Bayesian machinery that updates its memory repertoire by balancing evidence from new pathogen encounters against past experience of infection to predict and prepare for future threats." 🥳https://t.co/f66LL8ZWP5

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Squirrels are better at mapping a state space than most humans, but only because most humans don't even try.https://t.co/I85wjoFgdN

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 6 years ago

Squirrels Bayesd God"We define a Bayesian model that indicates how an ideal observer would optimally integrate landmark cues, and fit this model to the decisions made by squirrels in a spatial memory task."https://t.co/SRhSuhbkWU

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Like that fractal vice mapping a surface, it's swarms all the way down.https://t.co/B5JvM7wPMb

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 6 years ago

Can your immune system compute bayesian probabilities as a distributed passive online semi-continuous integrator?https://t.co/hyOdJMdzsE

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

What if we just don't.https://t.co/bVvrtmwME1

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 7 years ago

How well do RCTs perform when measuring a complex system?Is there a better way to get at what is going on than by guess and check?What is Bayesian search theory, and how does exploring novelty work?https://t.co/K5jaSwUSsJ

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Wu Wei Mapping.https://t.co/NO8XSZo6pE https://t.co/poaTFU6Wc6

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 8 years ago

Also a good description of bayesian optimization method: https://t.co/T1C5lgo9mQ

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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Basically, this, but with a much larger set of possible options and assuming that others have already tested some subset. The trick is in ways of exploring the unknown to maximize learning.https://t.co/yWgvKcUiDW https://t.co/5Gq8t6bYGj

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

One you realize you can map Orthogonal Arrays to linear amounts by pretending that the discretization effect is analgous to an integration methods, you can then start to reason about Taguchi Method as a form of Discrete Bayesian Inference. https://t.co/8laM7xlx37

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 8 years ago

This crowd-sourcing mechanism incorporates bayesian optimization on a gradient space thru a ratchet effect. Novelty?https://t.co/hbFeKjaaYJ

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Have you considered just NOT DOING MATH?https://t.co/JHDOyWsO96

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

If you want to know the volume of a complex object, just put water in it. Calculation is for nerds.https://t.co/Yl1U4XYyup

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UltimApe@ultimape• almost 4 years ago

Pythagorean Inertia."The tablet not only contains the world’s oldest trigonometric table; it is also the only completely accurate trigonometric table, because of the very different Babylonian approach to arithmetic and geometry."https://t.co/ZRqSCBoFwNhttps://t.co/mzJ2V42yO7

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Just because you can represent your ideas in math and fancy charts doesn't mean you're doing your science experiments correctly.https://t.co/r4CouCddgs

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UltimApe@ultimape• over 10 years ago

Just used our prototype app to teach my mom how the Pythagorean cult used Geometry to calculate things as an alternative to modern Algebra.

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Level up.https://t.co/uO3tf5S6pb

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 2 years ago

@adamatzky I'm the asshole talking about Non-Euclidean Geometry in the 19th century and how we need to generalize the Pythagorean Theorem to get it to hold. https://t.co/TFtg1dYEv7

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Literally, you can use water to prove things.https://t.co/wwP3ORmHxwThis beats geometric or algebraic methods.

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

The reason Karnaugh maps work to speed up thinking is it leverages our visual pattern finding system. Same idea.https://t.co/8HC3XuigIJ

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UltimApe@ultimape• about 8 years ago

@Siphesi44926451 For my mom, I basically recreated https://t.co/uwgLDfsvw3

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

I mean, maybe i'm kinda a nerd, but cooking eggs with math is kinda weird.https://t.co/LR8wf8hRbE

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

Heck, if you know what you are doing, you don't even need to cook eggs with water. Have you considered that you could automate the the 32 minute long 2 minute cycle by blowing hot and cold air on an egg? https://t.co/9foN1J9hWB

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

What if you want to optimize for hard boiled egg open-ability and maximize PEA because your GF's hands don't work well and you want to heal her?https://t.co/mw8zkox4xo https://t.co/Ide6vqD002

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 6 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

What about optimizing for ease of cooking and cost of energy per batch, so you can maximize egg per day under constraints of solar panels?How does a waterless air fryer compare to a sous-vide or a pressure cooker?Suddenly you have a lot more variables. What should you do?

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3/24/2025
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UltimApe@ultimape• 4 months ago
Replying to @ultimape

OTOH, if you are exploring a frontier and experimenting with your health, it is far faster to explore multiple variables at once using the Taguchi method.Get the basics down so you have a foundation to explore from. https://t.co/nUBofItKds

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5/13/2025