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I suspect what you are seeing is diabetes / racial health disparities, like diabetes rates, asthma https://t.co/L0kZcHY5ue or COPD, and likely has little to do with vaccine rates.Thread 1/n https://t.co/7lhWTwld1o
It correlates with income somewhat according to this 2010 map https://t.co/ZieYXxXy37and matches earlier death rates.https://t.co/Gh3O7wLWts
Framing this as a vaccine only thing is myopic. It certain matters, but there is a lot more going on with the death rates and it would be disingenuous to point the finger at the vaccines as the soul differentiating factor without viewing changes as over time.
I'm pointing this out because I am uncomfortable with how quickly poverty and race are wiped under the rug to fit the prevailing vaccine narrative. There is certainly seems to be a problem with vaccines being administered uneven with respect to someone's risk.
You can view some recent Chicago heath and demographic data here https://t.co/KsxlZ6YK30
If you can code, the city of Chicago also has an open API https://t.co/FtRPeBGFFG
FYI, one of the stronger correlations you can make is with kidney failure. It seems to be a feature that shows up among the worst cases of covid, and it is also something that is weakened with diabetes ("diabetic nephropathy"). https://t.co/MFPPdMggexhttps://t.co/WOIt3v6HDJ
There is an underlying health issue that I'm worried about myself, lots of people are increasing their intake of vitamin C, but among the at risk population with kidney issues, this is problematic. https://t.co/A8IBOvVuljBut I am not a doctor.
Vermont is inherently low density, and covid thankfully has been dealt with well here. We shut down early and our demographic skews heavily toward the at-risk age bracket.But I live with a my diabetic type-II girlfriend who's got kidney problems, & her mom (nearing retirement).
And while we don't have the same level of that weird race disparity issue, we do have a significant population of people in poverty who face similar 'diseases of poverty'. It pains me greatly to think about my childhood friend suffering right now. https://t.co/HHaS14luHB
There is something terribly wrong with how we are doling out vaccines here in the states. One of the issues seems to be that there isn't enough money?https://t.co/defQjIMcPT
I mention my situation because so many of the narratives I see floating around are based on projecting our own personal worldview into other areas. This is something I specifically set out to avoid b/c I know I am an isolated autistic computer nerd. My favorite Feynman quote: https://t.co/uIodpMW2Ac
I do this "fool yourself" thing all the time. Most of my epiphanies have been in areas where I originally had another, often dogmatic, point of view.I've learned being explicit in my assumptions helps surface them and allow me (and others) to point out things we overlook.
Earlier today I edited my thinking a bit after realizing the Egyptian Deity we know as a hippo (Taweret) is likely based on an assumption. Undermining this built up idea will put me at odds with Egyptologists. But I will route it out to test if I am right. https://t.co/z3uaioGd0h
I am suspicions of layman's theories of causality being drawn from narratively biased choropleths (funny colored maps). That is something that I spend a lot of time thinking about - how easy it is too fool myself by projecting bias when reading a map. https://t.co/mcbBYcP5So
In an older thread (since deleted due to fear), I wrote about how a survey study, done with Amazon Turk participants, used a google trends map which eventually lead to a propaganda driven narrative around Trump and masculinity.https://t.co/Qpidj1tSpl
Someone who took screenshots framed it well."hey may have confused 'people seeking to alleviate diabetes symptoms' with 'insecurity about masculinity'."https://t.co/s0ojr72rxR
(posting pictures to preserve them) https://t.co/NpapwYZ8aa
If the thread still existed, I would reinforce my narrative there. I later found a drug that both causes hair loss and impotence! These kinds of causal associations aren't visible in kinds of data they used. They were basically paid to lie to themselves.https://t.co/hortNEUlLL
Been exploring a hair loss drug that seems to remove a bunch of Testosterone out of the system and can cause weird mental issues and impotence. The idea that forms of Testosterone is an immune regulator has put a lot of weird ideas into perspective. https://t.co/aq29yPvpdt
My own interest there is most of my mom's side of the family have thin hair, and both my ex wife and current GF have PCOS. I found out that I have PCOS genes. It seems PCOS (a risk factor for diabetes type II) and hair loss correlate strongly.https://t.co/KeHuIbcUA2
More than that, it seem to be (yet another) issue that is under diagnosed among people of color. https://t.co/556EE9C3zTThese facts are overlooked when we see these surface level narratives. They appeal to your sensibilities because you don't know what you don't know. 😰
What do I do when I see tweets in my timeline that use maps, statistics, and frame the discussion around a popular zeitgeist? I spend time to question them before I retweet.Lest I reinforce a narrative I didn't even realize was being spread.https://t.co/Pxktzl9wBh
On large, @ChiVaxBot looks good. From where I'm standing they seem to be attempting to do at least two things:1) Creating evidence about inequality to force leaders to act2) Creating a discussion space to encourage medically disenfranchised PoC to take & get the vaccine.👏
If we trust these numbers, I think we can assume it's safe.https://t.co/zttQFErP2eBut until enough trusted people among a particularly weary community venture out to try it, and signal boost to their communities that it's safe, we won't see adoption. https://t.co/RWkYHZjNwP https://t.co/L78XPLSuog
“You can’t really blame parents of color for saying ‘You know what, I’m not ready to re-engage with the system yet,’ [...] All of this mistrust is really well earned.”https://t.co/arlSh09fQH
"We all want to put this behind us and getting people vaccinated is the way to do this, so I don’t think of it as a bribe"https://t.co/ydplsYhbKpReally? This isn't going to backfire at all....
"After decades of distrust, on top of centuries of genocide, now they appear and say, ‘Here, you have to take this!‘"https://t.co/LWiiDPgjt0
That thing in game design where if you frame something as a reward, you don't get people upset by loss aversion.https://t.co/arX0kJyClj
Carrot & Stick? Both are just veil'd ways to get you to do what the policy makers want.> Implying an illusion of choice.https://t.co/dyx9w94kCG
Whelp."The children who have died of covid-19 are, even more than among adults, disproportionately children of color — about three-quarters of those who’ve succumbed to covid so far, according to CDC data." [Feb 21, 2021]https://t.co/K6fbXW2qThhttps://t.co/rqNnNZadEc
If one of the symptoms of trouble breathing to look for is pale skin and blue lips... Are these symptoms harder to detect with darker skin?probably https://t.co/xmXE4wNCrZI hate this.https://t.co/2YWVm9k9fp
The guidelines listed for "when to seek help" on this publication about Brazilian's having high rates of childhood deaths are idiotic for a population of people with large swaths of dark skin.https://t.co/OcFW5iL53M https://t.co/UHlBIgfhZc
Brazil is getting hammered :(diabetes rates doi 10.1186/s12963-020-00209-0Vitamin D deficiency doi 10.1080/10408398.2018.1437711map of covid spread fromdoi 10.1126/science.abh1558 ICU beds fromhttps://t.co/bvtjBq0Qa5 https://t.co/kOp2wMCV6t
Have any of the vaccine efficacy and safety trials been done for children yet? I know there was one for 12-15 released in April for Pfizer, https://t.co/dd8J53xDNJ but the immune system shifts during puberty. https://t.co/MPJiLa27pH that suggests weirdness.
The answer was "no". We have not completed safety and efficacy trials for children (<12) for the vaccines available in the USA.https://t.co/jcIzO8C3XS
I am not familiar with situation in brazil regarding school closings or child rearing norms.Extrapolating from USA's data would be folly; "we don’t actually understand the natural history of transmission in children, because we mitigate against it"https://t.co/XLo95qVAbO
USA's CDC reports about 490 deaths for children, with 140 being between 0-4 years old.That bbc article on brazil says 518 have died less than one year old.https://t.co/VbHW8BdtwQ https://t.co/SqAbzy0l3x
According to https://t.co/qC8D6XCS4r the proportion of the population <14 year old is lower in brazil. https://t.co/Qzm9EoDSxH
Death statistics are harrowing :(The levels of childhood deaths are significantly out of whack compared to USA's rates.I wonder what is causing it to be so high.https://t.co/TLbSAI3Khs https://t.co/bFXoKWURca
So for naïve comparisons of death rates, infection rates, and proportion of population <14, we ought to expect brazil to have fewer childhood deaths.That this is not the case suggests a structural abnormality is happening to lead to higher numbers.I don't know what that is.
One possible answer is the vaccines being used over their might simply suck re: contagion?"Butantan stressed that the vaccine is 78% effective in preventing mild cases that needed treatment and 100% effective in staving off moderate to serious cases."https://t.co/OYge5wuygT
I would need to find how many deaths are from before the emergency authorizations back in January.https://t.co/1HA5S3qtev
The flip side of this is in Ontario, Canada, there has been only one reported death. According to https://t.co/cw6TxEodX7 https://t.co/FUXlwdneqp
"country-wide level, children and youth have made up nearly 20 per cent of COVID-19 cases but less than two per cent of hospitalizations, and very few of the country's roughly 25,000 deaths over the course of the pandemic — eight in total." [Apr 29, 2021]https://t.co/XPt7Qtankr
Are Canadian's simply healthier? Is there something related to latitude going on? Maybe it's simply that canada is less densely connected and fewer people?1/3 Canadians may have diabetes, and vitamin D is fairly low, so it can't be the main factor.https://t.co/Gpj6ZNDEKP
Good to know that living in a certain census tract in chicago can be correlated with GPS phone data to track populations of people by race. I wonder if that is being used in other ways. That sounds like a standard practice. https://t.co/I2YCTEyQWp
@ibramxk the paper does none of the things it claims to in the first image. it's philosophically barren. it is puerile. it is embarrassing. i am astonished that seven authors and an editor were necessary to produce it, and that they were willing to use what i assume are their real names https://t.co/8uahPthQDd
Amazing what you can do with a little bit of data.https://t.co/6tG5hfBFAl