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1) I am materially wrong about the most consequential thing I've had to have a view on in 15 years. You should probably degrade your estimate of my ability to think through complex problems. 2) We need a data point to couner "Nobody could possibly have seen this coming."
This hash and the hash prior to it are both described in detail in this essay thread and, especially, the essay in it. https://t.co/bFyzUHEzbM
A month ago, the pseudonymous Working Group did an independent research project on the coronavirus outbreak in Japan. Our result was novel and concerning. We quietly circulated it to accelerate the response effort. Here's the research and the backstory: https://t.co/CE9pC8eVU7
This hash and the March 25th followup are both discussed in this thread and the linked essay. https://t.co/bFyzUHmXNc
A month ago, the pseudonymous Working Group did an independent research project on the coronavirus outbreak in Japan. Our result was novel and concerning. We quietly circulated it to accelerate the response effort. Here's the research and the backstory: https://t.co/CE9pC8eVU7